Now that Trumpist conservatism has failed, conservatives need to ask themselves what conservatism after Trump should look like. In her new book--Fusionism: Liberty, Virtue, and the Future of the American Right--Stephanie Slade makes a persuasive argument that conservatives will need to revive the fusionist conservatism of Frank Meyer that once dominated the conservative movement, particularly during the presidency of Ronald Reagan. Meyer's claim was that in the best society, as was established by the American Founders, government secures individual freedom, which is the condition for human beings to pursue a virtuous life.
I agree with Slade. But I will argue that Meyer's fusionism needs to be grounded in a Darwinian Lockean liberalism that explains why a free and virtuous society as proposed by Meyer conforms to our evolved human nature.
First, however, I need to indicate why Trumpist conservatism has failed.
WHY TRUMPISM AND THE DISSIDENT RIGHT HAVE FAILED
The essence of Trumpism is captured in three statements by Trump. In August of 2016, in accepting the Republican nomination for President, Trump said that the system is rigged to favor the elites rather than ordinary Americans, and then he declared: "I alone can fix it." In his second term, he has said: "As president, I have the right to do anything I want." Recently, he has said that he is "the most powerful man that the planet has ever known."
All three of these statements are false. "I alone can fix it" was based on his claim that his success as a businessman showed that he was uniquely qualified to fix what was wrong with America. Some years ago, I claimed that this fundamental argument in Trump's political campaign rhetoric depended on his myth of himself as the self-made multi-billionaire businessman. This argument can be put into the form of a syllogism:
Major premise: Because of stupid politicians, America no longer wins; and America will not win again until a successful businessman who knows how to win is elected president.
Minor premise: Donald Trump is unique in his business success and his shrewdness in knowing how to win, because he is a self-made multi-billionaire.
Conclusion: Therefore, Americans need to elect Trump president.
Both of the premises are open to dispute. I have challenged the minor premise by pointing to the evidence that Trump's business career shows many failures from his imprudent decisions, that he was saved from ruin by his father's life-long transfer of money to him, and so he is not the self-made billionaire that he claims to be. He had a long string of bankruptcies that would have destroyed him were it not for the hundreds of millions of dollars funneled to him from his father. This started early. By age 3, the young Donald Trump was earning $200,000 a year in today's dollars as an employee of his father. By age 8, Donald was a millionaire.
But now Trump has driven the national debt to over $40 trillion, and he doesn't have his father or anyone else to save the country from bankruptcy.
Trump's claims that as president, he can do anything he wants, and even become the most powerful man in history, are also false. The Constitution limits the powers of the President and allows the other branches of government to check those powers.
Since American conservatives have generally upheld the constitutional system of limited government, it is hard to understand why any conservative would support Trump's claim of dictatorial power. But those conservatives who have backed Trump's presidency--Slade calls them the "Dissident Right"--have argued that only a man like Trump with absolute power can save America from being destroyed by the Radical Left. This argument was first made by Michael Anton in an essay published on September 5, 2016, with the title "The Flight 93 Election."
Anton was referring to the United Airlines Flight 93 that was hijacked by four al-Qaeda terrorists as part of the 9/11 attacks. The terrorists had planned to crash the plane into a government building in Washington, DC, perhaps the Capitol Building. But some of the passengers in the plane had learned by telephone about the hijacked planes that had crashed into the Twin Towers in New York and into the Pentagon in Washington. So the passengers realized that their plane was probably on a similar suicide mission. They decided to charge the cockpit, hoping that if they fought off the hijackers, they could take over control of the plane. To prevent that, the hijacker who was piloting the plane crashed it into a field in Pennsylvania, killing everyone on the plane.
Anton's essay began this way:
2016 is the Flight 93 election: charge the cockpit or you die. You may die anyway. You--or the leader of your party--may make it into the cockpit and not know how to fly or land the plane. There are no guarantees.
Except one: if you don't try, death is certain. To compound the metaphor: a Hillary Clinton presidency is Russian Roulette with a semi-auto. With Trump, at least you can spin the cylinder and take your chances.
If you believe that American politics is a life-or-death struggle between friends and enemies of the American way of life, and the enemies want to destroy that way of life, then you must do anything necessary to defeat those enemies, even if it means electing a man president who could himself bring about the end of that way of life.
A few years later, in his book The Stakes and in a podcast conversation with Curtis Yarvin, Anton suggested that Trump might have to become a "Red Caesar." His book was about the high stakes in the election of 2020--making it the most important election in over a hundred years. Anton concluded the book by warning that while his "fondest political dream is for a restoration of the American constitutional order," the conflict between Blue America and Red America could lead to the total collapse of the constitutional order. Then what?
He considered various possibilities. One of them was Caesarism. "Caesarism is a particular form of one-man rule: halfway, as it were, between monarchy and tyranny. It is monarchical in that a single person rules. It is tyrannical in that there is no appeal; Caesar's word replaces constitutionalism and even, in the final analysis, law" (341). Caesarism, therefore, can be defined as "authoritarian one-man rule partially legitimized by necessity," where that necessity is the breakdown of the republican, constitutional order caused by the people becoming so corrupt that they lack the republican virtues required for liberty (342).
Anton explained that Caesarism has five kinds of benefits, which he saw in the history of ancient Rome's Caesars. First, the benefits of Caesarism to Caesar are obvious--it satisfies his ambition for absolute power.
But there are also at least four benefits for a nation. Caesarism can hold together a large nation and prevent it from breaking up. In the case of the Roman Empire, it might have been broken up by factional conflict if Julius Caesar and is successors had not taken command.
Caesarism can also provide stability by preserving most of the formal institutions of the nation.
Caesarism can also calm factional conflict by subordinating all the factions to the rule of Caesar.
And it can preserve and even enhance the cultural and economic achievements of a great civilization, as was the case for Roman civilization under the Caesars.
Of course, Anton admitted, the great cost of Caesarism is the loss of liberty. And yet when Caesarism comes, it's because liberty has already been lost (342-43).
In 2021, in a podcast conversation with Charles Haywood, Anton suggested that with the election of Biden as president, liberty had indeed been lost, because the Democrats would suppress all their opponents, so that the leftists would never give up their grip on power. Anton said that he had "very little hope that a Republican can win a national election again, ever."
That prediction was proven false by Trump's election in 2024 to a second term. Through a free and fair election, power was peacefully transferred from one party to another. That was not a "Flight 93 Election." That showed that American political liberty has not been lost. (That election can be compared with the presidential election of 1800: the country's political polarization was so fierce that many people expected a civil war, and yet power was peacefully transferred from John Adams and the Federalist Party to Thomas Jefferson and the Republican Party.)
This shows that the American liberal democratic system can mediate partisan disputes by shifting power away from a party when it becomes unpopular. Data from Gallup show this. During Trump's first term, Trump's Republican Party became unpopular. When Biden was elected in 2020, 49% of the people leaned more to the Democratic Party as compared with 43% leaning more to the Republican Party. When Trump was elected in 2024, this was reversed--47% for the Republican Party, 43% for the Democratic Party--because Biden's policies had become unpopular. But now, after less than two years of Trump's second term, Americans are leaning back towards the Democrats--49% for the Democratic Party, 39% for the Republican Party. This shows that Trump's attempt to become a "Red Caesar" in his second term has made him even more unpopular than he was in his first term.
Clearly, then, the Trump conservatives have failed to win an overwhelming popular mandate for a Trumpian dictatorship.
To be continued in the next post . . .